Angels roll on with rout of Mariners

Baseball Betting Lines

06/05/2010 - Seattle, WA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Ervin Santana allowed one run in six solid innings and Torii Hunter continued his torrid stretch with three hits and three RBI, as the Angels remained hot with an 11-2 rout of the Seattle Mariners.

Santana (6-3) won his fifth consecutive start after scattering seven hits and three walks while fanning two for Los Angeles, which has won four straight and seven of eight to move two games above .500 (30-28) for the first time all season.

Hunter, meanwhile, has driven in at least one run in four consecutive games and has nine RBI in that stretch. Maicer Izturis and Howie Kendrick each added two hits, two RBI and two runs scored in the victory.

Ichiro Suzuki went 2-for-3 and scored his 1,000th career run for the Mariners, who have lost two straight after a three-game win streak. Ryan Rowland-Smith, starting for the first time since May 17, gave up just one run in five innings, but Garrett Olson (0-1) allowed three runs while recording just one out to receive the loss.

Olson began on the mound for Seattle in the sixth with the game tied, 1-1, and immediately ran into trouble.

Hunter began the frame with a double and scored the go-ahead run two batters later on a Mike Napoli single. Napoli moved to second on a wild pitch, prompting Olson to intentionally walk Juan Rivera.

Shawn Kelley relieved Olson, but the Angels' offense kept producing. Bobby Wilson walked to load the bases with one out, and Erick Aybar made it 3-1 with an RBI groundout. With runners now on second and third, Izturis plated both with a single to left.

Kendrick was then hit by a pitch, and Bobby Abreu walked to reload the bases with two away. Hunter and Hideki Matsui followed with back-to-back walks to force in a pair of runs for a 7-1 advantage. Napoli, the 12th batter of the inning, finally ended the rally with a groundout to second.

Los Angeles poured it on in the seventh with four runs. With the bases loaded and one out, Kendrick drove in two with a single to center, and after an Abreu walk reloaded the bases, Hunter plated two more with a double to right for an 11-1 game.

Chone Figgins' RBI single in the ninth for the M's accounted for the final margin.

Abreu's sacrifice fly in the third inning gave the Angels the early lead, but Suzuki doubled, moved to third on a bunt single and scored on Franklin Gutierrez's groundout to help Seattle tie the score in the fifth.

Game Notes

The Angels played without manager Mike Scioscia, who left the team for two games to attend his daughter's high school graduation. Bench coach Ron Roenicke served as the interim manager, and the Angels improved to 6-0 with him at the helm...Los Angeles leads the season series, 6-2...Seattle's Doug Fister was scratched from his scheduled start Saturday with a fatigued shoulder...Mariners third baseman Jose Lopez had an 11-game hit streak snapped.

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Sportsbook Betting Lines

Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “

What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

How the Opening Line Is Made

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Why Sports Betting Lines Change

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

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