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07/28/2010 - Toronto, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Brad Mills threw seven shutout innings for his first career win as the Toronto Blue Jays continued their domination of the Baltimore Orioles with a 5-0 win to cap a three-game sweep.
Mills (1-0) gave up just two hits and three walks with four strikeouts as Toronto moved to 12-0 against Baltimore on the season. It's Toronto's longest winning streak against Baltimore since a 13-game run from April 11, 1999-May 10, 2000.
Lyle Overbay smacked a three-run home run while Adam Lind went 3-for-3 with an RBI for the Blue Jays, who have won five of their last six.
Jeremy Guthrie (4-11) was saddled with the loss despite giving up just one unearned run on six hits with a walk and three strikeouts over seven innings. Ty Wigginton's two-out double in the ninth accounted for the lone extra base hit for the Orioles, who have dropped five straight and seven of eight.
In the second inning, Toronto jumped out to a 1-0 lead as Vernon Wells led off with a single and came home when Lind singled to left that saw Corey Patterson boot the ball.
Mills was dominating Baltimore through the first five innings as he limited the team to one hit and two walks.
With two outs in the sixth, Mills hit Miguel Tejada with a pitch and then walked Nick Markakis, but got Luke Scott to groundout to first to end the frame.
Mills worked around a two-out single in the seventh while David Purcey and Jason Frasor combined to pitch a 1-2-3 eighth inning.
The Blue Jays then solidified their lead in the eighth. With one out and Jose Bautista on second, Lind singled to center to bring home the run. After Aaron Hill was intentionally walked, Overbay lofted an 0-1 pitch over the left- center wall for a 5-0 lead.
Game Notes
Toronto hosts Cleveland for three games starting Friday...Baltimore travels to Kansas City for a four-game set beginning Thursday...Toronto has hit a home run in 10 straight home games.
<< Dodgers acquire Podsednik from Royals
San Diego, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Los Angeles Dodgers made a move to
bolster their outfield by acquiring former All-Star Scott Podsednik from the
Kansas City Royals for two minor league players - catcher Lucas May and
pitcher
<< Ohlendorf hit by line drive, leaves game
Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Ross
Ohlendorf left Wednesday's game against the Rockies after being struck by a
line drive off the bat of Troy Tulowitzki in the first inning.
With a runner at t
<< Rays' Zobrist leaves game
St. Petersburg, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tampa Bay Rays infielder/outfielder
Ben Zobrist left Wednesday's game against Detroit with lower back stiffness.
His availability is being listed as day-to-day.
The five-year veteran, playing cen
<< Chiefs sign second round picks
Kansas City, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Kansas City Chiefs have signed second
round draft choices Dexter McCluster and Javier Arenas.
Terms of the deals were not disclosed.
McCluster was the 36th overall pick in the 2010 NFL Draft out of
Jones, Hudson lead Atlanta past Washington >>
Washington, DC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Chipper Jones drove in two runs and Tim
Hudson was solid in 7 2/3 innings on the mound, as the Atlanta Braves took
down the Washington Nationals, 3-1, in the second test of a three-game set at
Nationa
Longoria leads Rays to fifth straight win >>
St. Petersburg, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Evan Longoria homered and Jeff Niemann
battled through six innings to lead Tampa Bay to a 7-4 triumph over Detroit in
the third installment of a four-game set.
Longoria finished 3-for-4 with a walk, tw
Thrashers sign F Eager >>
Atlanta, GA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Atlanta Thrashers signed forward Ben Eager
on Wednesday. Per team policy, terms of the deal were not disclosed.
Eager spent last season with the Blackhawks and posted seven goals and nine
assists with 1
Giants' Torres caps big game with winning hit in 10th >>
San Francisco, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Andres Torres capped his four-hit day
with a deep bases-loaded single in the 10th inning, lifting the Giants to a
10-9 win over the Florida Marlins at AT&T Park.
Torres added a two-run homer
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Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
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